The so-called ‘500-day rule’ says buying BTC roughly 500 days before a bitcoin halving and selling it about 500 days after would have produced profits in prior cycles.

  • A once-lucrative bitcoin trading strategy known as the 500-day rule, tied to the cryptocurrency’s four-year halving cycle, is signaling a buying window opens in late November and a potential exit around mid-August 2029.
  • Analysts warn that this cycle may differ from past ones because U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs and institutional flows now dwarf new supply from miners, potentially weakening the halving’s impact on prices.
  • While some market participants argue that the traditional halving-driven four-year cycle is fading, others say miner economics still anchor bitcoin’s long-term market structure, even if the 500-day rule proves less precise as a trading signal.

Bültenler

  1. 1 There's an election next month: State of Crypto 1 hour ago
  2. 2 Crypto poured years into new products. The next challenge is keeping users 6 hours ago
  3. 3 The Clarity Act stalled. Bankers aren’t hitting the brakes yet on crypto dealmaking 7 hours ago
  4. 4 Payments firm OpenPayd targets year-end Nasdaq listing to fund U.S. expansion and acquisitions 1 day ago
  5. 5 Crypto job postings triple to over 1,200 in September, but applications fall 1 day ago
  6. 6 Cathie Wood says smart investors need to start watching where AI agents spend money 1 day ago
  7. 7 Crypto's Sisyphean struggle 1 day ago
  8. 8 BlackRock offers a glimpse of how tokenization may change your investment portfolio 1 day ago
  9. 9 Bank group sues U.S. regulator over granting crypto trust charters 1 day ago
  10. 10 BNY in talks with Kraken parent Payward over infrastructure partnership 2 days ago

The Definitive Stablecoin Landscape Series: Asia Pacific

As stablecoins move into regulated finance, APAC is becoming a key proving ground. This report maps the region’s rules, use cases, and RLUSD’s role.

Why it matters :

As stablecoins move into regulated finance, APAC is becoming a key proving ground. This report maps the region’s rules, use cases, and RLUSD’s role.

Cathie Wood says smart investors need to start watching where AI agents spend money

U.S. added just 29,000 jobs in September, with unemployment rate rising to 4.2%

Crypto traders are in risk-on mode as bitcoin dominance nears return to 60%

There's an election next month: State of Crypto

Crypto poured years into new products. The next challenge is keeping users

The Clarity Act stalled. Bankers aren’t hitting the brakes yet on crypto dealmaking

Original sourceCoinDesk

The original source remains the canonical version for attribution, rights, and later updates.

Read original ↗

Disclaimer: This article is for information only and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets involve substantial risk.

← Back to latest